No prediction stored for this bout
No prediction stored for this bout.
Tale of the tape
| Kelvin Gastelum | Vicente Luque | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 14-10 (1 NC) | 16-8 |
| Last fight | won vs Dustin Stoltzfus (Decision - Unanimous, 2025-09-13) | lost vs Joel Alvarez (Decision - Unanimous, 2025-10-11) |
| Country | unknown | unknown |
| Height | 69" | 71" |
| Reach | 71" | 75" |
| Age | 34.5 | 34.4 |
| Stance | Southpaw | Orthodox |
| Weight class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Our rank | #28 | #27 |
| Style label | balanced | balanced |
Style profile
Percentile within the division · the dashed ring is average · outward is always better
Tap a metric to hide or show it — three is the minimum.
Tale of the tape
Division percentile. The hover carries the raw numbers.
Kelvin Gastelum
Vicente Luque
The numbers behind it
Rates are per 15 minutes of fight time, adjusted for the quality of
what the opponent usually allows. Defence and accuracy figures are percentages. A wider ±
means fewer rounds of evidence, and on the chart it is the whisker along that axis.
| Metric | Kelvin Gastelum | Division | Vicente Luque | Division |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strikes landed /15 min | 51.0 ± 3.5 49th percentile | 49.2 | 48.8 ± 2.6 21st percentile | 49.2 |
| Strike avoidance absorbed /15 min | 56.7 ± 5.7 26th percentile | 53.6 | 62.0 ± 13.8 11th percentile | 53.6 |
| Takedown attempts /15 min | 3.66 ± 0.73 32nd percentile | 4.06 | 3.34 ± 1.18 14th percentile | 4.06 |
| Takedown defence % | 54 ± 3 29th percentile | 53 | 54 ± 4 32nd percentile | 53 |
| Control time s /15 min | 192 ± 9 32nd percentile | 196 | 177 ± 32 11th percentile | 196 |
| Striking defence % | 52 ± 3 79th percentile | 50 | 50 ± 1 54th percentile | 50 |
| Knockdowns /15 min | 0.65 ± 0.07 55th percentile | 0.62 | 0.66 ± 0.11 58th percentile | 0.62 |
| Submission attempts /15 min | 0.47 ± 0.46 12th percentile | 0.73 | 0.72 ± 0.13 65th percentile | 0.73 |
| Metric | Kelvin Gastelum | Division | Vicente Luque | Division |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strikes landed /15 min | 61.4 ± 9.7 18th percentile | 62.8 | 61.2 ± 10.7 8th percentile | 62.8 |
| Strike avoidance absorbed /15 min | 66.5 ± 3.9 50th percentile | 67.0 | 63.4 ± 25.2 60th percentile | 67.0 |
| Takedown attempts /15 min | 4.07 ± 0.12 60th percentile | 4.08 | 4.09 ± 0.34 66th percentile | 4.08 |
| Takedown defence % | 69 ± 24 34th percentile | 71 | 70 ± 7 53rd percentile | 71 |
| Control time s /15 min | 189 ± 64 18th percentile | 198 | 209 ± 77 82nd percentile | 198 |
| Striking defence % | 51 ± 4 71st percentile | 51 | 51 ± 4 76th percentile | 51 |
| Knockdowns /15 min | 1.17 ± 0.17 29th percentile | 1.19 | 1.18 ± 0.07 34th percentile | 1.19 |
| Submission attempts /15 min | 0.12 ± 0.12 45th percentile | 0.13 | 0.12 ± 0.12 40th percentile | 0.13 |
| Metric | Kelvin Gastelum | Division | Vicente Luque | Division |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strikes landed /15 min | 58.3 ± 18.4 26th percentile | 59.3 | 58.1 ± 20.0 15th percentile | 59.3 |
| Strike avoidance absorbed /15 min | 69.0 ± 8.8 62nd percentile | 69.4 | 67.9 ± 27.1 85th percentile | 69.4 |
| Takedown attempts /15 min | 5.74 ± 1.40 74th percentile | 5.66 | 5.61 ± 1.02 56th percentile | 5.66 |
| Takedown defence % | 69 ± 14 39th percentile | 69 | 70 ± 14 54th percentile | 69 |
| Control time s /15 min | 223 ± 51 44th percentile | 226 | 234 ± 138 85th percentile | 226 |
| Striking defence % | 51 ± 5 56th percentile | 51 | 51 ± 1 44th percentile | 51 |
| Knockdowns /15 min | 0.34 ± 0.14 38th percentile | 0.35 | 0.34 ± 0.21 26th percentile | 0.35 |
| Submission attempts /15 min | 0.21 ± 0.21 56th percentile | 0.22 | 0.21 ± 0.21 50th percentile | 0.22 |
Rating over time
After the fight
Vicente Luque by Submission , round 1 at 4:08