UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry /15 Aug · Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA /Light Heavyweight
RT Rafael Tobias #44 · clinch grinder 1351 ± 277
No prediction stored for this bout
LF Lucas Fernando #30 · balanced 1815 ± 303
No prediction stored for this bout.

Tale of the tape

Rafael Tobias Lucas Fernando
Record0-10-0
Last fightlost vs Diyar Nurgozhay (Decision - Unanimous, 2026-03-07)no earlier UFC fight
Countryunknownunknown
Height74"75"
Reach74"80"
Age23.429.6
StanceOrthodoxunknown
Weight classLight HeavyweightLight Heavyweight
Our rank#44#30
Style labelclinch grinderbalanced

Style profile

Percentile within the division · the dashed ring is average · outward is always better
Tap a metric to hide or show it — three is the minimum.

Tale of the tape

Division percentile. The hover carries the raw numbers.
Rafael Tobias Lucas Fernando

The numbers behind it

Rates are per 15 minutes of fight time, adjusted for the quality of what the opponent usually allows. Defence and accuracy figures are percentages. A wider ± means fewer rounds of evidence, and on the chart it is the whisker along that axis.
MetricRafael TobiasDivisionLucas FernandoDivision
Strikes landed
/15 min		49.3 ± 6.6
41st percentile		48.048.7 ± 8.3
32nd percentile		48.0
Strike avoidance
absorbed /15 min		62.8 ± 30.6
10th percentile		57.053.8 ± 36.4
86th percentile		57.0
Takedown attempts
/15 min		4.57 ± 0.60
77th percentile		4.504.13 ± 4.13
46th percentile		4.50
Takedown defence
%		60 ± 40
60th percentile		5651 ± 51
9th percentile		56
Control time
s /15 min		202 ± 30
66th percentile		196194 ± 21
43rd percentile		196
Striking defence
%		48 ± 11
3rd percentile		5052 ± 25
97th percentile		50
Knockdowns
/15 min		0.57 ± 0.33
12th percentile		0.630.75 ± 1.43
74th percentile		0.63
Submission attempts
/15 min		0.73 ± 0.20
74th percentile		0.770.71 ± 0.71
63rd percentile		0.77

Rating over time

After the fight

Lucas Fernando by KO/TKO , round 3 at 1:10