UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane
/25 Oct 2025 · Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
/Women's Strawweight
No prediction stored for this bout
No prediction stored for this bout.
Tale of the tape
| Virna Jandiroba | Mackenzie Dern | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 8-3 | 10-5 |
| Last fight | won vs Yan Xiaonan (Decision - Unanimous, 2025-04-12) | won vs Amanda Ribas (Submission, 2025-01-11) |
| Country | Brazil | unknown |
| Height | 63" | 64" |
| Reach | 64" | 63" |
| Age | 37.4 | 32.6 |
| Stance | Orthodox | Orthodox |
| Weight class | Women's Strawweight | Women's Strawweight |
| Our rank | #2 | #4 C |
| Style label | grappler | balanced |
Style profile
Percentile within the division · the dashed ring is average · outward is always better
Tap a metric to hide or show it — three is the minimum.
Tale of the tape
Division percentile. The hover carries the raw numbers.
Virna Jandiroba
Mackenzie Dern
The numbers behind it
Rates are per 15 minutes of fight time, adjusted for the quality of
what the opponent usually allows. Defence and accuracy figures are percentages. A wider ±
means fewer rounds of evidence, and on the chart it is the whisker along that axis.
| Metric | Virna Jandiroba | Division | Mackenzie Dern | Division |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strikes landed /15 min | 46.8 ± 9.3 6th percentile | 52.4 | 54.9 ± 3.6 62nd percentile | 52.4 |
| Strike avoidance absorbed /15 min | 57.9 ± 15.2 88th percentile | 67.3 | 59.4 ± 9.7 81st percentile | 67.3 |
| Takedown attempts /15 min | 5.86 ± 3.33 99th percentile | 3.76 | 4.21 ± 0.57 69th percentile | 3.76 |
| Takedown defence % | 61 ± 8 69th percentile | 58 | 51 ± 13 9th percentile | 58 |
| Control time s /15 min | 287 ± 145 99th percentile | 196 | 248 ± 63 90th percentile | 196 |
| Striking defence % | 54 ± 2 74th percentile | 52 | 53 ± 1 62nd percentile | 52 |
| Knockdowns /15 min | 0.67 ± 0.06 17th percentile | 0.70 | 0.72 ± 0.04 72nd percentile | 0.70 |
| Submission attempts /15 min | 0.72 ± 0.62 97th percentile | 0.35 | 0.45 ± 0.23 88th percentile | 0.35 |
| Metric | Virna Jandiroba | Division | Mackenzie Dern | Division |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strikes landed /15 min | 56.9 ± 9.4 75th percentile | 55.2 | 58.1 ± 5.0 95th percentile | 55.2 |
| Strike avoidance absorbed /15 min | 59.9 ± 5.0 45th percentile | 60.7 | 55.2 ± 9.3 95th percentile | 60.7 |
| Takedown attempts /15 min | 4.16 ± 4.47 95th percentile | 3.27 | 3.80 ± 0.88 85th percentile | 3.27 |
| Takedown defence % | 54 ± 22 95th percentile | 51 | 50 ± 5 25th percentile | 51 |
| Control time s /15 min | 188 ± 92 95th percentile | 170 | 183 ± 23 85th percentile | 170 |
| Striking defence % | 50 ± 5 75th percentile | 49 | 51 ± 4 95th percentile | 49 |
| Knockdowns /15 min | 1.14 ± 0.04 25th percentile | 1.15 | 1.17 ± 0.03 85th percentile | 1.15 |
| Submission attempts /15 min | 0.52 ± 0.86 95th percentile | 0.36 | 0.41 ± 0.10 75th percentile | 0.36 |
| Metric | Virna Jandiroba | Division | Mackenzie Dern | Division |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strikes landed /15 min | 55.0 ± 26.5 95th percentile | 53.4 | 54.5 ± 5.0 85th percentile | 53.4 |
| Strike avoidance absorbed /15 min | 74.7 ± 17.1 15th percentile | 73.6 | 70.5 ± 14.1 85th percentile | 73.6 |
| Takedown attempts /15 min | 1.89 ± 2.72 75th percentile | 1.72 | 2.09 ± 1.69 95th percentile | 1.72 |
| Takedown defence % | 33 ± 1 50th percentile | 33 | 31 ± 14 6th percentile | 33 |
| Control time s /15 min | 148 ± 5 55th percentile | 147 | 159 ± 52 85th percentile | 147 |
| Striking defence % | 44 ± 5 65th percentile | 43 | 44 ± 1 55th percentile | 43 |
| Knockdowns /15 min | 0.30 ± 0.01 45th percentile | 0.30 | 0.30 ± 0.00 45th percentile | 0.30 |
| Submission attempts /15 min | 0.14 ± 0.14 35th percentile | 0.15 | 0.12 ± 0.12 5th percentile | 0.15 |
Rating over time
After the fight
Mackenzie Dern by Decision - Unanimous , round 5 at 5:00
Judges' cards
| Chris Lee | 47 | 48 |
| Mike Bell | 47 | 48 |
| Sal D'amato | 46 | 49 |