UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane /25 Oct 2025 · Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates /Bantamweight
Umar Nurmagomedov Umar Nurmagomedov #4 · grappler 2109 ± 146
No prediction stored for this bout
MB Mario Bautista #5 · grappler 2089 ± 139
No prediction stored for this bout.

Tale of the tape

Umar Nurmagomedov Mario Bautista
Record6-110-2
Last fightlost vs Merab Dvalishvili (Decision - Unanimous, 2025-01-18)won vs Patchy Mix (Decision - Unanimous, 2025-06-07)
Countryunknownunknown
Height68"69"
Reach69"69"
Age29.832.3
StanceOrthodoxSwitch
Weight classBantamweightBantamweight
Our rank#4#5
Style labelgrapplergrappler

Style profile

Percentile within the division · the dashed ring is average · outward is always better
Tap a metric to hide or show it — three is the minimum.

Tale of the tape

Division percentile. The hover carries the raw numbers.
Umar Nurmagomedov Mario Bautista

The numbers behind it

Rates are per 15 minutes of fight time, adjusted for the quality of what the opponent usually allows. Defence and accuracy figures are percentages. A wider ± means fewer rounds of evidence, and on the chart it is the whisker along that axis.
MetricUmar NurmagomedovDivisionMario BautistaDivision
Strikes landed
/15 min
50.8 ± 2.8
46th percentile
49.960.0 ± 16.1
94th percentile
49.9
Strike avoidance
absorbed /15 min
48.0 ± 18.8
97th percentile
59.561.0 ± 4.1
27th percentile
59.5
Takedown attempts
/15 min
6.52 ± 2.94
92nd percentile
4.746.31 ± 2.56
89th percentile
4.74
Takedown defence
%
66 ± 25
96th percentile
5862 ± 7
68th percentile
58
Control time
s /15 min
278 ± 130
98th percentile
198242 ± 71
92nd percentile
198
Striking defence
%
57 ± 8
98th percentile
5252 ± 1
27th percentile
52
Knockdowns
/15 min
0.67 ± 0.06
32nd percentile
0.680.75 ± 0.13
77th percentile
0.68
Submission attempts
/15 min
0.38 ± 0.29
7th percentile
0.550.82 ± 0.46
94th percentile
0.55

Rating over time

After the fight

Umar Nurmagomedov by Decision - Unanimous , round 3 at 5:00

Judges' cards

Ben Cartlidge3027
Chris Lee3027
Jacob Montalvo3027