No prediction stored for this bout
No prediction stored for this bout.
Tale of the tape
| Julian Erosa | Melquizael Costa | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 9-7 | 4-2 |
| Last fight | won vs Darren Elkins (KO/TKO, 2025-04-12) | won vs Christian Rodriguez (Decision - Unanimous, 2025-03-29) |
| Country | U.S | Brazil |
| Height | 73" | 70" |
| Reach | 74" | 71" |
| Age | 35.8 | 28.7 |
| Stance | Southpaw | Southpaw |
| Weight class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Our rank | #45 | #20 |
| Style label | volume striker | balanced |
Style profile
Percentile within the division · the dashed ring is average · outward is always better
Tap a metric to hide or show it — three is the minimum.
Tale of the tape
Division percentile. The hover carries the raw numbers.
Julian Erosa
Melquizael Costa
The numbers behind it
Rates are per 15 minutes of fight time, adjusted for the quality of
what the opponent usually allows. Defence and accuracy figures are percentages. A wider ±
means fewer rounds of evidence, and on the chart it is the whisker along that axis.
| Metric | Julian Erosa | Division | Melquizael Costa | Division |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strikes landed /15 min | 62.0 ± 33.9 98th percentile | 50.3 | 53.3 ± 5.6 65th percentile | 50.3 |
| Strike avoidance absorbed /15 min | 70.2 ± 27.9 4th percentile | 60.6 | 56.8 ± 7.2 75th percentile | 60.6 |
| Takedown attempts /15 min | 4.87 ± 0.58 74th percentile | 4.70 | 4.58 ± 0.74 52nd percentile | 4.70 |
| Takedown defence % | 55 ± 3 30th percentile | 56 | 49 ± 14 2nd percentile | 56 |
| Control time s /15 min | 192 ± 14 35th percentile | 197 | 207 ± 22 74th percentile | 197 |
| Striking defence % | 52 ± 2 20th percentile | 53 | 49 ± 6 2nd percentile | 53 |
| Knockdowns /15 min | 0.66 ± 0.13 51st percentile | 0.65 | 0.69 ± 0.20 71st percentile | 0.65 |
| Submission attempts /15 min | 0.55 ± 0.09 75th percentile | 0.53 | 0.61 ± 0.18 84th percentile | 0.53 |
| Metric | Julian Erosa | Division | Melquizael Costa | Division |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strikes landed /15 min | — | — | 61.9 ± 6.7 45th percentile | 62.8 |
| Strike avoidance absorbed /15 min | — | — | 59.6 ± 4.6 55th percentile | 59.8 |
| Takedown attempts /15 min | — | — | 2.49 ± 0.98 71st percentile | 2.32 |
| Takedown defence % | — | — | 49 ± 49 3rd percentile | 58 |
| Control time s /15 min | — | — | 190 ± 27 71st percentile | 186 |
| Striking defence % | — | — | 52 ± 16 8th percentile | 55 |
| Knockdowns /15 min | — | — | 1.48 ± 0.32 60th percentile | 1.53 |
| Submission attempts /15 min | — | — | 0.15 ± 0.15 29th percentile | 0.18 |
| Metric | Julian Erosa | Division | Melquizael Costa | Division |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strikes landed /15 min | — | — | 55.3 ± 6.5 35th percentile | 55.7 |
| Strike avoidance absorbed /15 min | — | — | 72.3 ± 21.3 58th percentile | 73.8 |
| Takedown attempts /15 min | — | — | 3.64 ± 1.48 35th percentile | 3.75 |
| Takedown defence % | — | — | 51 ± 51 4th percentile | 55 |
| Control time s /15 min | — | — | 182 ± 22 73rd percentile | 181 |
| Striking defence % | — | — | 50 ± 14 12th percentile | 51 |
| Knockdowns /15 min | — | — | 0.31 ± 0.01 58th percentile | 0.31 |
| Submission attempts /15 min | — | — | 0.06 ± 0.06 50th percentile | 0.07 |
Rating over time
After the fight
Melquizael Costa by Decision - Unanimous , round 3 at 5:00
Judges' cards
| Chris Lee | 28 | 29 |
| Junichiro Kamijo | 28 | 29 |
| Ron McCarthy | 28 | 29 |