Brandon Moreno
71%
vs
29%
Our win probability
Your pick
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How it ends
Knockout28.5%
Decision58.4%
Submission13.1%
What moves it most
- rating difference — moves the model toward Brandon Moreno (value +1.57)
- control time against control conceded — moves the model toward Brandon Moreno (value +1.90)
- age difference — moves the model toward Brandon Moreno (value -0.29)
Tale of the tape
| Brandon Moreno | Charles Johnson | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 12-7-2 | 9-7 |
| Last fight | won vs Joseph Morales (Decision - Split, 2026-09-12) | won vs Eduardo Chapolin (Submission, 2026-08-15) |
| Country | Mexico | U.S. |
| Height | 67" | 69" |
| Reach | 70" | 70" |
| Age | 33.0 | 35.9 |
| Stance | Orthodox | Switch |
| Weight class | Flyweight | Flyweight |
| Our rank | #7 | #25 |
| Style label | volume striker | volume striker |
Style profile
Percentile within the division · the dashed ring is average · outward is always better
Tap a metric to hide or show it — three is the minimum.
Tale of the tape
Division percentile. The hover carries the raw numbers.
Brandon Moreno
Charles Johnson
The numbers behind it
Rates are per 15 minutes of fight time, adjusted for the quality of
what the opponent usually allows. Defence and accuracy figures are percentages. A wider ±
means fewer rounds of evidence, and on the chart it is the whisker along that axis.
| Metric | Brandon Moreno | Division | Charles Johnson | Division |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strikes landed /15 min | 54.7 ± 3.4 70th percentile | 51.5 | 58.5 ± 7.7 89th percentile | 51.5 |
| Strike avoidance absorbed /15 min | 56.6 ± 3.8 23rd percentile | 53.2 | 57.2 ± 5.7 18th percentile | 53.2 |
| Takedown attempts /15 min | 3.98 ± 0.86 16th percentile | 4.86 | 4.64 ± 0.50 55th percentile | 4.86 |
| Takedown defence % | 65 ± 7 83rd percentile | 59 | 63 ± 5 54th percentile | 59 |
| Control time s /15 min | 207 ± 16 65th percentile | 197 | 174 ± 27 11th percentile | 197 |
| Striking defence % | 56 ± 2 87th percentile | 55 | 54 ± 1 45th percentile | 55 |
| Knockdowns /15 min | 0.57 ± 0.07 6th percentile | 0.63 | 0.68 ± 0.10 67th percentile | 0.63 |
| Submission attempts /15 min | 0.37 ± 0.18 4th percentile | 0.54 | 0.51 ± 0.10 50th percentile | 0.54 |
| Metric | Brandon Moreno | Division | Charles Johnson | Division |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strikes landed /15 min | 64.1 ± 2.9 82nd percentile | 62.0 | — | — |
| Strike avoidance absorbed /15 min | 57.1 ± 3.8 32nd percentile | 54.8 | — | — |
| Takedown attempts /15 min | 3.79 ± 0.37 46th percentile | 3.98 | — | — |
| Takedown defence % | 63 ± 6 82nd percentile | 60 | — | — |
| Control time s /15 min | 164 ± 27 4th percentile | 182 | — | — |
| Striking defence % | 55 ± 3 96th percentile | 53 | — | — |
| Knockdowns /15 min | 1.16 ± 0.04 82nd percentile | 1.15 | — | — |
| Submission attempts /15 min | 0.19 ± 0.13 4th percentile | 0.29 | — | — |
| Metric | Brandon Moreno | Division | Charles Johnson | Division |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strikes landed /15 min | 57.5 ± 4.9 68th percentile | 56.2 | — | — |
| Strike avoidance absorbed /15 min | 58.3 ± 5.0 32nd percentile | 57.1 | — | — |
| Takedown attempts /15 min | 4.18 ± 0.27 59th percentile | 4.18 | — | — |
| Takedown defence % | 64 ± 5 59th percentile | 63 | — | — |
| Control time s /15 min | 178 ± 20 4th percentile | 183 | — | — |
| Striking defence % | 51 ± 6 96th percentile | 49 | — | — |
| Knockdowns /15 min | 0.27 ± 0.04 23rd percentile | 0.28 | — | — |
| Submission attempts /15 min | 0.17 ± 0.17 4th percentile | 0.22 | — | — |