52%
vs
48%
Our win probability
Your pick
Loading your picks…
How it ends
Knockout33.3%
Decision49.9%
Submission16.9%
What moves it most
Upset watch: the model still gives 48% to the underdog. Two fights in five at this price go the other way.
Limited data: at least one of these fighters has a thin or uncertain record, so treat this prediction with caution.
- control time against control conceded — moves the model toward Baisangur Susurkaev (value -0.70)
- knockdown rate against durability — moves the model toward Damian Pinas (value +0.55)
- age difference — moves the model toward Damian Pinas (value -0.12)
Tale of the tape
| Damian Pinas | Baisangur Susurkaev | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 3-0 | 3-0 |
| Last fight | won vs Andrey Pulyaev (KO/TKO, 2026-10-03) | won vs Djorden Santos (Submission, 2026-05-09) |
| Country | Suriname | unknown |
| Height | 73" | 74" |
| Reach | 79" | 79" |
| Age | 24.8 | 25.9 |
| Stance | Orthodox | Orthodox |
| Weight class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Our rank | #18 | #24 |
| Style label | power puncher | balanced |
Style profile
Percentile within the division · the dashed ring is average · outward is always better
Tap a metric to hide or show it — three is the minimum.
Tale of the tape
Division percentile. The hover carries the raw numbers.
Damian Pinas
Baisangur Susurkaev
The numbers behind it
Rates are per 15 minutes of fight time, adjusted for the quality of
what the opponent usually allows. Defence and accuracy figures are percentages. A wider ±
means fewer rounds of evidence, and on the chart it is the whisker along that axis.
| Metric | Damian Pinas | Division | Baisangur Susurkaev | Division |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strikes landed /15 min | 51.9 ± 43.1 61st percentile | 49.2 | 51.9 ± 12.4 59th percentile | 49.2 |
| Strike avoidance absorbed /15 min | 55.2 ± 24.1 34th percentile | 53.6 | 56.7 ± 14.2 25th percentile | 53.6 |
| Takedown attempts /15 min | 3.92 ± 2.22 51st percentile | 4.06 | 5.08 ± 4.67 91st percentile | 4.06 |
| Takedown defence % | 52 ± 20 18th percentile | 53 | 59 ± 41 80th percentile | 53 |
| Control time s /15 min | 184 ± 184 21st percentile | 196 | 206 ± 45 71st percentile | 196 |
| Striking defence % | 50 ± 4 35th percentile | 50 | 52 ± 7 76th percentile | 50 |
| Knockdowns /15 min | 0.96 ± 5.43 98th percentile | 0.62 | 0.59 ± 0.14 18th percentile | 0.62 |
| Submission attempts /15 min | 0.69 ± 0.69 56th percentile | 0.73 | 0.76 ± 0.16 84th percentile | 0.73 |
Nothing to tabulate for this view.
Nothing to tabulate for this view.