66%
vs
34%
Our win probability
Your pick
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How it ends
Knockout31.8%
Decision51.4%
Submission16.8%
What moves it most
- rating difference — moves the model toward Joanderson Brito (value +2.48)
- reach difference — moves the model toward Joanderson Brito (value +1.20)
- distance striking against distance defence — moves the model toward Kaan Ofli (value -0.10)
Tale of the tape
| Joanderson Brito | Kaan Ofli | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 8-3 | 3-2 |
| Last fight | won vs Giga Chikadze (KO/TKO, 2026-09-19) | won vs Javier Reyes (Submission, 2026-06-27) |
| Country | Brazil | unknown |
| Height | 68" | 67" |
| Reach | 72" | 66" |
| Age | 32.0 | 33.6 |
| Stance | Orthodox | Orthodox |
| Weight class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Our rank | #18 | #56 |
| Style label | clinch grinder | balanced |
Style profile
Percentile within the division · the dashed ring is average · outward is always better
Tap a metric to hide or show it — three is the minimum.
Tale of the tape
Division percentile. The hover carries the raw numbers.
Joanderson Brito
Kaan Ofli
The numbers behind it
Rates are per 15 minutes of fight time, adjusted for the quality of
what the opponent usually allows. Defence and accuracy figures are percentages. A wider ±
means fewer rounds of evidence, and on the chart it is the whisker along that axis.
| Metric | Joanderson Brito | Division | Kaan Ofli | Division |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strikes landed /15 min | 51.6 ± 3.8 50th percentile | 50.3 | 49.8 ± 2.4 18th percentile | 50.3 |
| Strike avoidance absorbed /15 min | 52.3 ± 20.2 96th percentile | 60.6 | 58.0 ± 10.4 69th percentile | 60.6 |
| Takedown attempts /15 min | 4.60 ± 0.44 53rd percentile | 4.70 | 4.86 ± 0.66 70th percentile | 4.70 |
| Takedown defence % | 54 ± 5 27th percentile | 56 | 47 ± 47 1st percentile | 56 |
| Control time s /15 min | 221 ± 58 88th percentile | 197 | 209 ± 47 76th percentile | 197 |
| Striking defence % | 48 ± 11 1st percentile | 53 | 54 ± 5 71st percentile | 53 |
| Knockdowns /15 min | 0.63 ± 0.16 20th percentile | 0.65 | 0.63 ± 0.12 21st percentile | 0.65 |
| Submission attempts /15 min | 0.81 ± 0.70 99th percentile | 0.53 | 0.58 ± 0.26 82nd percentile | 0.53 |
Nothing to tabulate for this view.
Nothing to tabulate for this view.