69%
vs
31%
Our win probability
Benoît Saint Denis
Your pick
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How it ends
Knockout39.6%
Decision44.4%
Submission16.0%
What moves it most
- rating difference — moves the model toward Quillan Salkilld (value +1.25)
- age difference — moves the model toward Quillan Salkilld (value -0.40)
- distance striking against distance defence — moves the model toward Quillan Salkilld (value +0.15)
Tale of the tape
| Quillan Salkilld | Benoît Saint Denis | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 6-0 | 9-4 |
| Last fight | won vs Mateusz Gamrot (Submission, 2026-08-08) | lost vs Paddy Pimblett (Submission, 2026-07-11) |
| Country | Australia | France |
| Height | 72" | 71" |
| Reach | 75" | 73" |
| Age | 27.1 | 31.1 |
| Stance | Orthodox | Southpaw |
| Weight class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Our rank | #4 | #8 |
| Style label | grappler | grappler |
Style profile
Percentile within the division · the dashed ring is average · outward is always better
Tap a metric to hide or show it — three is the minimum.
Tale of the tape
Division percentile. The hover carries the raw numbers.
Quillan Salkilld
Benoît Saint Denis
The numbers behind it
Rates are per 15 minutes of fight time, adjusted for the quality of
what the opponent usually allows. Defence and accuracy figures are percentages. A wider ±
means fewer rounds of evidence, and on the chart it is the whisker along that axis.
| Metric | Quillan Salkilld | Division | Benoît Saint Denis | Division |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strikes landed /15 min | 49.2 ± 8.1 50th percentile | 47.8 | 53.8 ± 17.1 83rd percentile | 47.8 |
| Strike avoidance absorbed /15 min | 53.9 ± 25.6 90th percentile | 58.5 | 56.7 ± 5.8 75th percentile | 58.5 |
| Takedown attempts /15 min | 7.00 ± 12.48 98th percentile | 4.72 | 6.89 ± 6.10 96th percentile | 4.72 |
| Takedown defence % | 58 ± 24 68th percentile | 54 | 61 ± 25 82nd percentile | 54 |
| Control time s /15 min | 226 ± 180 87th percentile | 193 | 256 ± 176 96th percentile | 193 |
| Striking defence % | 53 ± 3 74th percentile | 53 | 50 ± 7 9th percentile | 53 |
| Knockdowns /15 min | 0.85 ± 1.02 92nd percentile | 0.67 | 0.72 ± 0.26 68th percentile | 0.67 |
| Submission attempts /15 min | 0.72 ± 0.48 88th percentile | 0.64 | 0.98 ± 0.96 97th percentile | 0.64 |
| Metric | Quillan Salkilld | Division | Benoît Saint Denis | Division |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strikes landed /15 min | 63.4 ± 5.1 40th percentile | 63.6 | 62.5 ± 14.5 10th percentile | 63.6 |
| Strike avoidance absorbed /15 min | 60.8 ± 50.6 77th percentile | 62.5 | 62.9 ± 4.6 40th percentile | 62.5 |
| Takedown attempts /15 min | 3.70 ± 0.96 48th percentile | 3.73 | 3.90 ± 2.19 77th percentile | 3.73 |
| Takedown defence % | 64 ± 36 82nd percentile | 63 | 64 ± 16 78th percentile | 63 |
| Control time s /15 min | 181 ± 201 77th percentile | 174 | 179 ± 63 73rd percentile | 174 |
| Striking defence % | 48 ± 22 77th percentile | 48 | 46 ± 20 15th percentile | 48 |
| Knockdowns /15 min | 1.34 ± 0.39 44th percentile | 1.36 | 1.31 ± 0.65 23rd percentile | 1.36 |
| Submission attempts /15 min | 0.54 ± 2.85 85th percentile | 0.45 | 0.47 ± 0.32 77th percentile | 0.45 |
Nothing to tabulate for this view.