72%
vs
28%
Our win probability
Your pick
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How it ends
Knockout33.4%
Decision49.1%
Submission17.5%
What moves it most
Limited data: at least one of these fighters has a thin or uncertain record, so treat this prediction with caution.
- rating difference — moves the model toward Austin Bashi (value +1.94)
- age difference — moves the model toward Austin Bashi (value -0.56)
- difference in rating certainty — no side — this is how certain the ratings are, not who is better (value -1.28)
Tale of the tape
| Austin Bashi | Carlos Calderon | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Last fight | lost vs Jose Delgado (Decision - Unanimous, 2026-07-18) | no earlier UFC fight |
| Country | unknown | unknown |
| Height | 66" | 71" |
| Reach | 70" | 71" |
| Age | 25.1 | 30.7 |
| Stance | Orthodox | Southpaw |
| Weight class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Our rank | #63 | unrated |
| Style label | grappler | unknown |