Jared Cannonier
22%
vs
78%
Our win probability
Ikram Aliskerov
Your pick
Loading your picks…
How it ends
Knockout31.6%
Decision53.7%
Submission14.7%
What moves it most
- age difference — moves the model toward Ikram Aliskerov (value +0.87)
- rating difference — moves the model toward Ikram Aliskerov (value -1.54)
- output against strikes absorbed — moves the model toward Ikram Aliskerov (value +0.53)
Tale of the tape
| Jared Cannonier | Ikram Aliskerov | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 11-10 | 5-1 |
| Last fight | lost vs Christian Leroy Duncan (Decision - Unanimous, 2026-07-18) | won vs Brunno Ferreira (Decision - Unanimous, 2026-06-27) |
| Country | U.S. | Russia |
| Height | 71" | 72" |
| Reach | 77" | 76" |
| Age | 42.7 | 34.0 |
| Stance | Switch | Southpaw |
| Weight class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Our rank | #17 | #9 |
| Style label | power puncher | clinch grinder |
Style profile
Percentile within the division · the dashed ring is average · outward is always better
Tap a metric to hide or show it — three is the minimum.
Tale of the tape
Division percentile. The hover carries the raw numbers.
Jared Cannonier
Ikram Aliskerov
The numbers behind it
Rates are per 15 minutes of fight time, adjusted for the quality of
what the opponent usually allows. Defence and accuracy figures are percentages. A wider ±
means fewer rounds of evidence, and on the chart it is the whisker along that axis.
| Metric | Jared Cannonier | Division | Ikram Aliskerov | Division |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strikes landed /15 min | 57.1 ± 9.8 91st percentile | 49.2 | 55.1 ± 23.4 76th percentile | 49.2 |
| Strike avoidance absorbed /15 min | 61.8 ± 10.1 12th percentile | 53.6 | 53.2 ± 3.2 52nd percentile | 53.6 |
| Takedown attempts /15 min | 3.57 ± 0.67 29th percentile | 4.06 | 4.25 ± 0.75 68th percentile | 4.06 |
| Takedown defence % | 58 ± 8 71st percentile | 53 | 59 ± 41 79th percentile | 53 |
| Control time s /15 min | 213 ± 23 76th percentile | 196 | 238 ± 167 94th percentile | 196 |
| Striking defence % | 50 ± 1 39th percentile | 50 | 51 ± 2 58th percentile | 50 |
| Knockdowns /15 min | 0.73 ± 0.15 82nd percentile | 0.62 | 0.72 ± 0.42 78th percentile | 0.62 |
| Submission attempts /15 min | 0.40 ± 0.40 2nd percentile | 0.73 | 0.67 ± 0.23 52nd percentile | 0.73 |
| Metric | Jared Cannonier | Division | Ikram Aliskerov | Division |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strikes landed /15 min | 68.0 ± 10.1 87th percentile | 62.8 | 62.8 ± 2.2 60th percentile | 62.8 |
| Strike avoidance absorbed /15 min | 72.5 ± 10.4 8th percentile | 67.0 | 67.4 ± 48.2 34th percentile | 67.0 |
| Takedown attempts /15 min | 3.20 ± 1.65 13th percentile | 4.08 | 4.05 ± 4.05 50th percentile | 4.08 |
| Control time s /15 min | 192 ± 17 29th percentile | 198 | 196 ± 196 45th percentile | 198 |
| Striking defence % | 51 ± 1 24th percentile | 51 | 51 ± 17 29th percentile | 51 |
| Knockdowns /15 min | 1.26 ± 0.14 92nd percentile | 1.19 | 1.19 ± 0.28 60th percentile | 1.19 |
| Submission attempts /15 min | 0.09 ± 0.09 13th percentile | 0.13 | 0.13 ± 0.13 66th percentile | 0.13 |
| Metric | Jared Cannonier | Division | Ikram Aliskerov | Division |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strikes landed /15 min | 60.1 ± 5.6 74th percentile | 59.3 | — | — |
| Strike avoidance absorbed /15 min | 73.2 ± 23.5 9th percentile | 69.4 | — | — |
| Takedown attempts /15 min | 5.07 ± 3.69 21st percentile | 5.66 | — | — |
| Takedown defence % | 71 ± 29 82nd percentile | 69 | — | — |
| Control time s /15 min | 223 ± 18 38th percentile | 226 | — | — |
| Striking defence % | 51 ± 2 26th percentile | 51 | — | — |
| Knockdowns /15 min | 0.39 ± 0.33 97th percentile | 0.35 | — | — |
| Submission attempts /15 min | 0.19 ± 0.19 15th percentile | 0.22 | — | — |