40%
vs
60%
Our win probability
Tallison Teixeira
Your pick
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How it ends
Knockout37.4%
Decision44.7%
Submission17.9%
What moves it most
- age difference — moves the model toward Tallison Teixeira (value +0.98)
- distance striking against distance defence — moves the model toward Shamil Gaziev (value +0.11)
- control time against control conceded — moves the model toward Shamil Gaziev (value +0.91)
Tale of the tape
| Shamil Gaziev | Tallison Teixeira | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 4-3 | 2-2 |
| Last fight | won vs Kennedy Nzechukwu (KO/TKO, 2026-08-22) | lost vs Sergei Pavlovich (KO/TKO, 2026-05-30) |
| Country | Soviet Union | Brazil |
| Height | 76" | 79" |
| Reach | 78" | 83" |
| Age | 36.8 | 27.0 |
| Stance | Orthodox | Orthodox |
| Weight class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Our rank | #22 | #26 |
| Style label | clinch grinder | clinch grinder |
Style profile
Percentile within the division · the dashed ring is average · outward is always better
Tap a metric to hide or show it — three is the minimum.
Tale of the tape
Division percentile. The hover carries the raw numbers.
Shamil Gaziev
Tallison Teixeira
The numbers behind it
Rates are per 15 minutes of fight time, adjusted for the quality of
what the opponent usually allows. Defence and accuracy figures are percentages. A wider ±
means fewer rounds of evidence, and on the chart it is the whisker along that axis.
| Metric | Shamil Gaziev | Division | Tallison Teixeira | Division |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strikes landed /15 min | 50.6 ± 4.7 54th percentile | 49.5 | 49.8 ± 3.0 42nd percentile | 49.5 |
| Strike avoidance absorbed /15 min | 62.5 ± 21.1 5th percentile | 57.0 | 56.5 ± 5.2 58th percentile | 57.0 |
| Takedown attempts /15 min | 3.74 ± 0.71 44th percentile | 3.93 | 4.39 ± 4.13 85th percentile | 3.93 |
| Control time s /15 min | 224 ± 82 81st percentile | 202 | 211 ± 77 68th percentile | 202 |
| Striking defence % | 48 ± 1 46th percentile | 47 | 46 ± 16 7th percentile | 47 |
| Knockdowns /15 min | 0.78 ± 0.58 87th percentile | 0.63 | 0.67 ± 0.42 66th percentile | 0.63 |
| Submission attempts /15 min | 0.55 ± 0.55 24th percentile | 0.69 | 0.62 ± 0.62 50th percentile | 0.69 |
| Metric | Shamil Gaziev | Division | Tallison Teixeira | Division |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strikes landed /15 min | 67.7 ± 22.8 10th percentile | 69.5 | 69.6 ± 30.0 63rd percentile | 69.5 |
| Strike avoidance absorbed /15 min | 80.5 ± 15.2 17th percentile | 79.3 | 79.8 ± 151.6 23rd percentile | 79.3 |
| Takedown attempts /15 min | 4.00 ± 2.59 83rd percentile | 3.79 | 3.78 ± 3.78 50th percentile | 3.79 |
| Control time s /15 min | 173 ± 10 43rd percentile | 174 | 173 ± 173 50th percentile | 174 |
| Striking defence % | 48 ± 7 17th percentile | 48 | 48 ± 1 50th percentile | 48 |
| Knockdowns /15 min | 1.39 ± 0.22 43rd percentile | 1.40 | 1.40 ± 0.29 63rd percentile | 1.40 |
| Submission attempts /15 min | 0.30 ± 0.30 37th percentile | 0.32 | 0.32 ± 0.32 77th percentile | 0.32 |
| Metric | Shamil Gaziev | Division | Tallison Teixeira | Division |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strikes landed /15 min | 58.8 ± 25.6 19th percentile | 59.3 | — | — |
| Strike avoidance absorbed /15 min | 56.7 ± 87.3 6th percentile | 55.0 | — | — |
| Takedown attempts /15 min | 4.84 ± 3.43 81st percentile | 4.78 | — | — |
| Takedown defence % | 65 ± 35 82nd percentile | 64 | — | — |
| Control time s /15 min | 193 ± 2 81st percentile | 193 | — | — |
| Striking defence % | 50 ± 20 19th percentile | 50 | — | — |
| Knockdowns /15 min | 0.36 ± 0.07 56th percentile | 0.37 | — | — |
| Submission attempts /15 min | 0.14 ± 0.14 56th percentile | 0.14 | — | — |