Ilia Topuria
No prediction stored for this bout
Justin Gaethje
No prediction stored for this bout.
Tale of the tape
| Ilia Topuria | Justin Gaethje | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 9-0 | 10-5 |
| Last fight | won vs Charles Oliveira (KO/TKO, 2025-06-28) | won vs Paddy Pimblett (Decision - Unanimous, 2026-01-24) |
| Country | unknown | unknown |
| Height | 67" | 71" |
| Reach | 69" | 70" |
| Age | 29.4 | 37.6 |
| Stance | Orthodox | Orthodox |
| Weight class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Our rank | #1 | #3 C |
| Style label | power puncher | volume striker |
Style profile
Percentile within the division · the dashed ring is average · outward is always better
Tap a metric to hide or show it — three is the minimum.
Tale of the tape
Division percentile. The hover carries the raw numbers.
Ilia Topuria
Justin Gaethje
The numbers behind it
Rates are per 15 minutes of fight time, adjusted for the quality of
what the opponent usually allows. Defence and accuracy figures are percentages. A wider ±
means fewer rounds of evidence, and on the chart it is the whisker along that axis.
| Metric | Ilia Topuria | Division | Justin Gaethje | Division |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strikes landed /15 min | 53.4 ± 14.0 79th percentile | 47.8 | 58.4 ± 15.7 94th percentile | 47.8 |
| Strike avoidance absorbed /15 min | 60.8 ± 5.8 35th percentile | 58.5 | 71.4 ± 19.0 2nd percentile | 58.5 |
| Takedown attempts /15 min | 4.08 ± 1.58 20th percentile | 4.72 | 3.71 ± 1.49 5th percentile | 4.72 |
| Takedown defence % | 62 ± 37 91st percentile | 54 | 59 ± 11 74th percentile | 54 |
| Control time s /15 min | 215 ± 53 80th percentile | 193 | 178 ± 25 12th percentile | 193 |
| Striking defence % | 55 ± 4 89th percentile | 53 | 50 ± 4 8th percentile | 53 |
| Knockdowns /15 min | 0.92 ± 0.64 97th percentile | 0.67 | 0.81 ± 0.23 87th percentile | 0.67 |
| Submission attempts /15 min | 0.57 ± 0.21 37th percentile | 0.64 | 0.38 ± 0.38 1st percentile | 0.64 |
| Metric | Ilia Topuria | Division | Justin Gaethje | Division |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strikes landed /15 min | 65.0 ± 5.0 85th percentile | 63.6 | 66.8 ± 6.3 98th percentile | 63.6 |
| Strike avoidance absorbed /15 min | 64.6 ± 6.5 10th percentile | 62.5 | 72.2 ± 18.8 2nd percentile | 62.5 |
| Takedown attempts /15 min | 3.29 ± 1.32 6th percentile | 3.73 | 3.10 ± 1.25 2nd percentile | 3.73 |
| Takedown defence % | 68 ± 32 92nd percentile | 63 | 68 ± 15 98th percentile | 63 |
| Control time s /15 min | 188 ± 42 90th percentile | 174 | 168 ± 15 15th percentile | 174 |
| Striking defence % | 50 ± 8 98th percentile | 48 | 47 ± 1 27th percentile | 48 |
| Knockdowns /15 min | 1.48 ± 0.39 98th percentile | 1.36 | 1.39 ± 0.10 85th percentile | 1.36 |
| Submission attempts /15 min | 0.33 ± 0.33 6th percentile | 0.45 | 0.29 ± 0.29 2nd percentile | 0.45 |
| Metric | Ilia Topuria | Division | Justin Gaethje | Division |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strikes landed /15 min | 54.3 ± 9.1 12th percentile | 54.9 | 56.7 ± 11.2 88th percentile | 54.9 |
| Strike avoidance absorbed /15 min | 67.8 ± 11.7 73rd percentile | 68.6 | 72.0 ± 21.7 4th percentile | 68.6 |
| Takedown attempts /15 min | 5.37 ± 0.45 50th percentile | 5.40 | 4.84 ± 3.55 4th percentile | 5.40 |
| Takedown defence % | 61 ± 39 79th percentile | 60 | 62 ± 20 96th percentile | 60 |
| Control time s /15 min | 205 ± 118 88th percentile | 196 | 193 ± 21 19th percentile | 196 |
| Striking defence % | 46 ± 16 96th percentile | 45 | 46 ± 2 73rd percentile | 45 |
| Knockdowns /15 min | 0.48 ± 0.11 88th percentile | 0.47 | 0.45 ± 0.15 19th percentile | 0.47 |
| Submission attempts /15 min | 0.05 ± 0.05 12th percentile | 0.06 | 0.05 ± 0.05 4th percentile | 0.06 |
Rating over time
After the fight
Justin Gaethje by KO/TKO , round 4 at 5:00