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Justin Gaethje
Record
11-5
Rating
2261 ± 141
Since last event
Holds the belt
Next fight
nothing booked
Age
37
37
Current streak
3 wins
3 wins
Wins by
7 KO · 0 sub · 4 dec
7 KO · 0 sub · 4 dec
Key facts
- Record
- 11-5
- Division
- Lightweight
- Our rank
- #3 C
- Rating
- 2261 ± 141
- Style label
- volume striker
- Country
- unknown
- Height
- 71"
- Reach
- 70"
- Stance
- Orthodox
- Date of birth
- 1988-11-14
Rating history
Style profile
Percentile within the division · the dashed ring is average · outward is always better
Tap a metric to hide or show it — three is the minimum.
The numbers behind it
Rates are per 15 minutes of fight time, adjusted for the quality of
what the opponent usually allows. Defence and accuracy figures are percentages. A wider ±
means fewer rounds of evidence, and on the chart it is the whisker along that axis.
| Metric | Justin Gaethje | Division |
|---|---|---|
| Strikes landed /15 min | 58.4 ± 15.7 94th percentile | 47.8 |
| Strike avoidance absorbed /15 min | 71.4 ± 19.0 2nd percentile | 58.5 |
| Takedown attempts /15 min | 3.71 ± 1.49 5th percentile | 4.72 |
| Takedown defence % | 59 ± 11 74th percentile | 54 |
| Control time s /15 min | 178 ± 25 12th percentile | 193 |
| Striking defence % | 50 ± 4 8th percentile | 53 |
| Knockdowns /15 min | 0.81 ± 0.23 87th percentile | 0.67 |
| Submission attempts /15 min | 0.38 ± 0.38 1st percentile | 0.64 |
| Metric | Justin Gaethje | Division |
|---|---|---|
| Strikes landed /15 min | 66.8 ± 6.3 98th percentile | 63.6 |
| Strike avoidance absorbed /15 min | 72.2 ± 18.8 2nd percentile | 62.5 |
| Takedown attempts /15 min | 3.10 ± 1.25 2nd percentile | 3.73 |
| Takedown defence % | 68 ± 15 98th percentile | 63 |
| Control time s /15 min | 168 ± 15 15th percentile | 174 |
| Striking defence % | 47 ± 1 27th percentile | 48 |
| Knockdowns /15 min | 1.39 ± 0.10 85th percentile | 1.36 |
| Submission attempts /15 min | 0.29 ± 0.29 2nd percentile | 0.45 |
| Metric | Justin Gaethje | Division |
|---|---|---|
| Strikes landed /15 min | 56.7 ± 11.2 88th percentile | 54.9 |
| Strike avoidance absorbed /15 min | 72.0 ± 21.7 4th percentile | 68.6 |
| Takedown attempts /15 min | 4.84 ± 3.55 4th percentile | 5.40 |
| Takedown defence % | 62 ± 20 96th percentile | 60 |
| Control time s /15 min | 193 ± 21 19th percentile | 196 |
| Striking defence % | 46 ± 2 73rd percentile | 45 |
| Knockdowns /15 min | 0.45 ± 0.15 19th percentile | 0.47 |
| Submission attempts /15 min | 0.05 ± 0.05 4th percentile | 0.06 |
Style-based strength score
Average predicted win probability against the current top 15 of this division: 37.9%. This never changes the ranking — it shows where the styles help or hurt.
Best matchups
- Renato Moicano — 53%
- Rafael Fiziev — 51%
- Beneil Dariush — 50%
Worst matchups
- Ilia Topuria — 25%
- Quillan Salkilld — 22%
- Arman Tsarukyan — 21%