No prediction stored for this bout
Justin Gaethje
No prediction stored for this bout.
Tale of the tape
| Dustin Poirier | Justin Gaethje | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 21-6 (1 NC) | 7-4 |
| Last fight | won vs Michael Chandler (Submission, 2022-11-12) | won vs Rafael Fiziev (Decision - Majority, 2023-03-18) |
| Country | unknown | unknown |
| Height | 69" | 71" |
| Reach | 72" | 70" |
| Age | 34.5 | 34.7 |
| Stance | Southpaw | Orthodox |
| Weight class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Our rank | unrated | #3 C |
| Style label | unknown | volume striker |
Style profile
Percentile within the division · the dashed ring is average · outward is always better
Tap a metric to hide or show it — three is the minimum.
Tale of the tape
Division percentile. The hover carries the raw numbers.
Dustin Poirier
Justin Gaethje
The numbers behind it
Rates are per 15 minutes of fight time, adjusted for the quality of
what the opponent usually allows. Defence and accuracy figures are percentages. A wider ±
means fewer rounds of evidence, and on the chart it is the whisker along that axis.
| Metric | Dustin Poirier | Division | Justin Gaethje | Division |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strikes landed /15 min | 54.8 ± 14.1 86th percentile | 47.8 | 58.4 ± 15.7 94th percentile | 47.8 |
| Strike avoidance absorbed /15 min | 68.1 ± 19.1 8th percentile | 58.5 | 71.4 ± 19.0 2nd percentile | 58.5 |
| Takedown attempts /15 min | 3.69 ± 2.04 5th percentile | 4.72 | 3.71 ± 1.49 5th percentile | 4.72 |
| Takedown defence % | 57 ± 10 56th percentile | 54 | 59 ± 11 74th percentile | 54 |
| Control time s /15 min | 173 ± 42 3rd percentile | 193 | 178 ± 25 12th percentile | 193 |
| Striking defence % | 51 ± 4 14th percentile | 53 | 50 ± 4 8th percentile | 53 |
| Knockdowns /15 min | 0.76 ± 0.20 77th percentile | 0.67 | 0.81 ± 0.23 87th percentile | 0.67 |
| Submission attempts /15 min | 0.81 ± 0.37 92nd percentile | 0.64 | 0.38 ± 0.38 1st percentile | 0.64 |
| Metric | Dustin Poirier | Division | Justin Gaethje | Division |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strikes landed /15 min | 57.1 ± 18.0 0th percentile | 63.6 | 66.8 ± 6.3 98th percentile | 63.6 |
| Strike avoidance absorbed /15 min | 72.5 ± 20.0 0th percentile | 62.5 | 72.2 ± 18.8 2nd percentile | 62.5 |
| Takedown attempts /15 min | 2.65 ± 1.15 0th percentile | 3.73 | 3.10 ± 1.25 2nd percentile | 3.73 |
| Takedown defence % | 59 ± 9 5th percentile | 63 | 68 ± 15 98th percentile | 63 |
| Control time s /15 min | 119 ± 27 0th percentile | 174 | 168 ± 15 15th percentile | 174 |
| Striking defence % | 49 ± 4 88th percentile | 48 | 47 ± 1 27th percentile | 48 |
| Knockdowns /15 min | 0.71 ± 0.64 0th percentile | 1.36 | 1.39 ± 0.10 85th percentile | 1.36 |
| Submission attempts /15 min | 0.54 ± 0.54 83rd percentile | 0.45 | 0.29 ± 0.29 2nd percentile | 0.45 |
| Metric | Dustin Poirier | Division | Justin Gaethje | Division |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strikes landed /15 min | 53.2 ± 24.1 8th percentile | 54.9 | 56.7 ± 11.2 88th percentile | 54.9 |
| Strike avoidance absorbed /15 min | 65.9 ± 38.4 92nd percentile | 68.6 | 72.0 ± 21.7 4th percentile | 68.6 |
| Takedown attempts /15 min | 3.35 ± 2.63 0th percentile | 5.40 | 4.84 ± 3.55 4th percentile | 5.40 |
| Takedown defence % | 57 ± 18 8th percentile | 60 | 62 ± 20 96th percentile | 60 |
| Control time s /15 min | 143 ± 16 0th percentile | 196 | 193 ± 21 19th percentile | 196 |
| Striking defence % | 50 ± 2 100th percentile | 45 | 46 ± 2 73rd percentile | 45 |
| Knockdowns /15 min | 0.15 ± 0.09 0th percentile | 0.47 | 0.45 ± 0.15 19th percentile | 0.47 |
| Submission attempts /15 min | 0.28 ± 0.29 100th percentile | 0.06 | 0.05 ± 0.05 4th percentile | 0.06 |
Rating over time
After the fight
Justin Gaethje by KO/TKO , round 2 at 1:00