Justin Gaethje
No prediction stored for this bout
Max Holloway
No prediction stored for this bout.
Tale of the tape
| Justin Gaethje | Max Holloway | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 8-4 | 21-7 |
| Last fight | won vs Dustin Poirier (KO/TKO, 2023-07-29) | won vs Chan Sung Jung (KO/TKO, 2023-08-26) |
| Country | unknown | unknown |
| Height | 71" | 71" |
| Reach | 70" | 69" |
| Age | 35.4 | 32.4 |
| Stance | Orthodox | Orthodox |
| Weight class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Our rank | #3 C | #6 |
| Style label | volume striker | volume striker |
Style profile
Percentile within the division · the dashed ring is average · outward is always better
Tap a metric to hide or show it — three is the minimum.
Tale of the tape
Division percentile. The hover carries the raw numbers.
Justin Gaethje
Max Holloway
The numbers behind it
Rates are per 15 minutes of fight time, adjusted for the quality of
what the opponent usually allows. Defence and accuracy figures are percentages. A wider ±
means fewer rounds of evidence, and on the chart it is the whisker along that axis.
| Metric | Justin Gaethje | Division | Max Holloway | Division |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strikes landed /15 min | 58.4 ± 15.7 94th percentile | 47.8 | 66.8 ± 19.6 100th percentile | 47.8 |
| Strike avoidance absorbed /15 min | 71.4 ± 19.0 2nd percentile | 58.5 | 59.9 ± 6.3 45th percentile | 58.5 |
| Takedown attempts /15 min | 3.71 ± 1.49 5th percentile | 4.72 | 2.32 ± 1.95 0th percentile | 4.72 |
| Takedown defence % | 59 ± 11 74th percentile | 54 | 66 ± 12 100th percentile | 54 |
| Control time s /15 min | 178 ± 25 12th percentile | 193 | 159 ± 31 0th percentile | 193 |
| Striking defence % | 50 ± 4 8th percentile | 53 | 51 ± 2 17th percentile | 53 |
| Knockdowns /15 min | 0.81 ± 0.23 87th percentile | 0.67 | 0.70 ± 0.05 66th percentile | 0.67 |
| Submission attempts /15 min | 0.38 ± 0.38 1st percentile | 0.64 | 0.32 ± 0.18 0th percentile | 0.64 |
| Metric | Justin Gaethje | Division | Max Holloway | Division |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strikes landed /15 min | 66.8 ± 6.3 98th percentile | 63.6 | 79.3 ± 11.0 100th percentile | 63.6 |
| Strike avoidance absorbed /15 min | 72.2 ± 18.8 2nd percentile | 62.5 | 65.8 ± 3.0 4th percentile | 62.5 |
| Takedown attempts /15 min | 3.10 ± 1.25 2nd percentile | 3.73 | 1.29 ± 0.94 0th percentile | 3.73 |
| Takedown defence % | 68 ± 15 98th percentile | 63 | 70 ± 8 100th percentile | 63 |
| Control time s /15 min | 168 ± 15 15th percentile | 174 | 146 ± 27 0th percentile | 174 |
| Striking defence % | 47 ± 1 27th percentile | 48 | 51 ± 2 100th percentile | 48 |
| Knockdowns /15 min | 1.39 ± 0.10 85th percentile | 1.36 | 1.34 ± 0.18 46th percentile | 1.36 |
| Submission attempts /15 min | 0.29 ± 0.29 2nd percentile | 0.45 | 0.10 ± 0.04 0th percentile | 0.45 |
| Metric | Justin Gaethje | Division | Max Holloway | Division |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strikes landed /15 min | 56.7 ± 11.2 88th percentile | 54.9 | 73.4 ± 22.3 100th percentile | 54.9 |
| Strike avoidance absorbed /15 min | 72.0 ± 21.7 4th percentile | 68.6 | 60.7 ± 11.1 100th percentile | 68.6 |
| Takedown attempts /15 min | 4.84 ± 3.55 4th percentile | 5.40 | 2.42 ± 1.79 0th percentile | 5.40 |
| Takedown defence % | 62 ± 20 96th percentile | 60 | 69 ± 9 100th percentile | 60 |
| Control time s /15 min | 193 ± 21 19th percentile | 196 | 190 ± 33 0th percentile | 196 |
| Striking defence % | 46 ± 2 73rd percentile | 45 | 52 ± 3 100th percentile | 45 |
| Knockdowns /15 min | 0.45 ± 0.15 19th percentile | 0.47 | 0.68 ± 0.23 100th percentile | 0.47 |
| Submission attempts /15 min | 0.05 ± 0.05 4th percentile | 0.06 | 0.21 ± 0.07 100th percentile | 0.06 |
Rating over time
After the fight
Max Holloway by KO/TKO , round 5 at 4:59