Justin Gaethje
No prediction stored for this bout
Paddy Pimblett
No prediction stored for this bout.
Tale of the tape
| Justin Gaethje | Paddy Pimblett | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 9-5 | 7-0 |
| Last fight | won vs Rafael Fiziev (Decision - Unanimous, 2025-03-08) | won vs Michael Chandler (KO/TKO, 2025-04-12) |
| Country | unknown | unknown |
| Height | 71" | 70" |
| Reach | 70" | 73" |
| Age | 37.2 | 31.1 |
| Stance | Orthodox | Orthodox |
| Weight class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Our rank | #3 C | #6 |
| Style label | volume striker | balanced |
Style profile
Percentile within the division · the dashed ring is average · outward is always better
Tap a metric to hide or show it — three is the minimum.
Tale of the tape
Division percentile. The hover carries the raw numbers.
Justin Gaethje
Paddy Pimblett
The numbers behind it
Rates are per 15 minutes of fight time, adjusted for the quality of
what the opponent usually allows. Defence and accuracy figures are percentages. A wider ±
means fewer rounds of evidence, and on the chart it is the whisker along that axis.
| Metric | Justin Gaethje | Division | Paddy Pimblett | Division |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strikes landed /15 min | 58.4 ± 15.7 94th percentile | 47.8 | 53.7 ± 15.2 82nd percentile | 47.8 |
| Strike avoidance absorbed /15 min | 71.4 ± 19.0 2nd percentile | 58.5 | 59.2 ± 3.2 51st percentile | 58.5 |
| Takedown attempts /15 min | 3.71 ± 1.49 5th percentile | 4.72 | 4.26 ± 1.16 27th percentile | 4.72 |
| Takedown defence % | 59 ± 11 74th percentile | 54 | 46 ± 25 1st percentile | 54 |
| Control time s /15 min | 178 ± 25 12th percentile | 193 | 207 ± 36 74th percentile | 193 |
| Striking defence % | 50 ± 4 8th percentile | 53 | 50 ± 6 10th percentile | 53 |
| Knockdowns /15 min | 0.81 ± 0.23 87th percentile | 0.67 | 0.61 ± 0.16 10th percentile | 0.67 |
| Submission attempts /15 min | 0.38 ± 0.38 1st percentile | 0.64 | 0.77 ± 0.45 90th percentile | 0.64 |
| Metric | Justin Gaethje | Division | Paddy Pimblett | Division |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strikes landed /15 min | 66.8 ± 6.3 98th percentile | 63.6 | 65.4 ± 7.7 90th percentile | 63.6 |
| Strike avoidance absorbed /15 min | 72.2 ± 18.8 2nd percentile | 62.5 | 62.9 ± 4.9 31st percentile | 62.5 |
| Takedown attempts /15 min | 3.10 ± 1.25 2nd percentile | 3.73 | 3.66 ± 0.34 40th percentile | 3.73 |
| Takedown defence % | 68 ± 15 98th percentile | 63 | 53 ± 40 2nd percentile | 63 |
| Control time s /15 min | 168 ± 15 15th percentile | 174 | 168 ± 29 10th percentile | 174 |
| Striking defence % | 47 ± 1 27th percentile | 48 | 48 ± 1 69th percentile | 48 |
| Knockdowns /15 min | 1.39 ± 0.10 85th percentile | 1.36 | 1.25 ± 0.45 6th percentile | 1.36 |
| Submission attempts /15 min | 0.29 ± 0.29 2nd percentile | 0.45 | 0.36 ± 0.36 10th percentile | 0.45 |
| Metric | Justin Gaethje | Division | Paddy Pimblett | Division |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strikes landed /15 min | 56.7 ± 11.2 88th percentile | 54.9 | 54.7 ± 3.2 35th percentile | 54.9 |
| Strike avoidance absorbed /15 min | 72.0 ± 21.7 4th percentile | 68.6 | 70.0 ± 21.7 19th percentile | 68.6 |
| Takedown attempts /15 min | 4.84 ± 3.55 4th percentile | 5.40 | 5.54 ± 2.02 65th percentile | 5.40 |
| Takedown defence % | 62 ± 20 96th percentile | 60 | 56 ± 56 4th percentile | 60 |
| Control time s /15 min | 193 ± 21 19th percentile | 196 | 198 ± 30 81st percentile | 196 |
| Striking defence % | 46 ± 2 73rd percentile | 45 | 45 ± 3 35th percentile | 45 |
| Knockdowns /15 min | 0.45 ± 0.15 19th percentile | 0.47 | 0.44 ± 0.44 4th percentile | 0.47 |
| Submission attempts /15 min | 0.05 ± 0.05 4th percentile | 0.06 | 0.05 ± 0.05 19th percentile | 0.06 |
Rating over time
After the fight
Justin Gaethje by Decision - Unanimous , round 5 at 5:00
Judges' cards
| Derek Cleary | 49 | 46 |
| Mike Bell | 48 | 47 |
| Sal D'amato | 49 | 46 |